Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.008038 0.009035 0.010124 0.011404 0.012872 0.014507 0.016470
2025-02-09 0.006385 0.007720 0.009305 0.011338 0.013891 0.017014 0.021157
2025-02-16 0.005550 0.007040 0.008909 0.011449 0.014847 0.019286 0.025608
2025-02-23 0.004858 0.006398 0.008415 0.011285 0.015324 0.020893 0.029307
2025-03-02 0.004435 0.006033 0.008208 0.011434 0.016182 0.023055 0.034017
2025-03-09 0.004023 0.005629 0.007884 0.011350 0.016659 0.024681 0.038113
2025-03-16 0.003574 0.005118 0.007348 0.010878 0.016473 0.025248 0.040575
2025-03-23 0.003302 0.004836 0.007112 0.010823 0.016904 0.026801 0.044839
2025-03-30 0.003198 0.004795 0.007227 0.011318 0.018258 0.030003 0.052404
2025-04-06 0.002918 0.004453 0.006843 0.010960 0.018141 0.030676 0.055470
2025-04-13 0.002682 0.004162 0.006513 0.010656 0.018072 0.031409 0.058731
2025-04-20 0.002531 0.003995 0.006370 0.010651 0.018525 0.033129 0.064172
2025-04-27 0.002469 0.003978 0.006482 0.011125 0.019945 0.036921 0.074663
2025-05-04 0.002317 0.003797 0.006305 0.011063 0.020357 0.038829 0.081537
2025-05-11 0.002209 0.003680 0.006226 0.011171 0.021104 0.041505 0.090608
2025-05-18 0.002070 0.003501 0.006018 0.011012 0.021290 0.043019 0.097230
2025-05-25 0.001987 0.003413 0.005971 0.011156 0.022116 0.046022 0.108056
2025-06-01 0.001881 0.003276 0.005818 0.011075 0.022451 0.047972 0.116595
2025-06-08 0.001737 0.003056 0.005495 0.010616 0.021911 0.047831 0.119572
2025-06-15 0.001653 0.002946 0.005373 0.010562 0.022266 0.049857 0.128903
2025-06-22 0.001637 0.002963 0.005498 0.011043 0.023898 0.055230 0.148970
2025-06-29 0.001531 0.002798 0.005252 0.010696 0.023546 0.055564 0.154145
2025-07-06 0.001438 0.002654 0.005036 0.010400 0.023286 0.056102 0.160087